Skipper Pat Cummins has admitted that his involvement in the first Ashes Test appears doubtful due to persistent fitness concerns.
Media speculation from Australia had indicated that Cummins might miss the whole series, though the fast bowler himself has now given a more detailed update on his situation.
The 32-year-old has been struggling with a spinal issue that has prevented his participation since his last competitive match in July.
Although Cummins has restarted running exercises, he has yet to begin bowling as part of his rehabilitation program.
"I wouldn't put a percentage on it, but my assessment is probably more doubtful than certain," commented Cummins. "We get into begins next week, so probably a couple of weeks away from wearing the spikes and delivering on turf."
Australia coach Andrew McDonald had earlier suggested that Cummins would require a bare minimum of four weeks of bowling preparation to have any opportunity of playing in the first Test, scheduled to begin on November 21.
Cummins supported this assessment, explaining: "You'd want at least approximately a month in the nets. If you play a Test match, you want to make certain you're capable to bowl 20 overs in a day without worry."
Given the compressed timeframe, there are also doubts about Cummins' availability for the second Test in Brisbane on December 4.
Should Cummins be unavailable, former captain Steve Smith is likely to lead the side, with Scott Boland possibly stepping in in the pace department.
The hosts have held the Ashes urn since 2018, while The visitors are without a Test win in Australia since 2011.
Cummins' current fitness issues echo challenges from earlier in his distinguished career. He made his Test debut as an 18-year-old in 2011 against South Africa, becoming the youngest-ever player to take a five-wicket haul in an innings at that time.
However, his explosive debut proved to be a misleading start, as Cummins endured six years before his second Test appearance due to repeated stress fractures in his lower back.
When healthy, Cummins has proven himself as one of cricket's premier fast bowlers. The experienced campaigner has taken 309 Test dismissals at an impressive average of 22.10.
His record in Australia is even more impressive, with 177 wickets at 19.92, while he has claimed 91 wickets against England in just 19 matches.
In the latest Ashes series in 2023, Cummins played in all five Tests, taking 18 wickets and confirming his value to the Australian side.
As captain, Cummins enjoyed a glorious 2023, taking six wickets in Australia's triumphant World Test Championship final and excelling in their 50-over World Cup final victory against India.
He remains the only leader in Test history to win the World Test Championship, World Cup, and an Ashes series.
England also face their own injury concerns with captain Ben Stokes, who has been troubled by a shoulder injury since the Test series against India.
Both teams will be monitoring their key players closely as the highly anticipated Ashes series nears.
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